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Akosah KO, Schaper A, Cogbill C, Schoenfeld P.Preventing myocardial infarction in the young adultin the first place: how do the National CholesterolEducation Panel III guidelines perform? J Am CollCardiol.

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23 thoughts on “Rape – Part 2 (Case Histories of False Allegations)

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  2. Dougie where to buy nolvadex bodybuilding.com

    William,

    Your work here is outstanding. I was going to try and collect some articles on false accusations myself then stumbled across your website and you’ve done everything humanly possible to research the area!

    Can this information be used in some way, shown to people who need to see it e.g. The prime minister,the home Secretary,the justice Secretary?

    You have put in too much time and effort here for it not to result in something positive.

    Do you know about the all party parliamentary committee on miscarriages of justice that has been set up? They need to be educated by your work

    Regards
    Dougie

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  6. Cederic buy dianabol and nolvadex

    69 prosecutions for making false allegations is actually far far higher than I’d expected, and (given the difficulty of proving malicious intent) doesn’t feel an unreasonable number at all relative to the number of cases.

    The system is currently broken but that part of it has at least given me some hope.

    1. William Collins Post authorwhere do u buy nolvadex

      You might have missed my warning about the 146 cases being an extremely biased sample. Those cases which involve prosecution of an alleged false accuser get reported – and I am only aware of cases which get reported. How many other cases are there in addition to these 146 over the same time period? I don’t know, but I would expect several hundreds per year, so several thousands over the time period in question.

  7. Shinobi Yaka buy nolvadex from canada

    That feeling you get when you know things are bad, but your worse suspicions come nowhere close to reality, this is seriously scary, how did we ever get to this point?

  8. Liber buy generic nolvadex online

    Always sickening to read of false rape allegations, but this study breaks through the surface of so many cases, presenting evidence of systematic prejudice and failings, whilst highlighting many false accusers who bear no thought for the consequences of their actions.

    Will we ever know how many innocent men are currently in jail?
    More importantly how are we to get them the help they need?
    All those lives and families destroyed.

    Another milestone for William Collins.
    As a society we ignore these findings at our peril.
    Make way Alison Saunders…make way for the Truth.

  9. CitymanMichael where to buy good nolvadex

    Victim Compensation – I read recently (can’t remember where) that victims of a serial rapist would get an average of £20,000.00 and up to £100,000.00 in compensation.

    Another point – my belief that in a “he said – she said” situation without any coroborrating evidence, there should be an aquittal.

    1. William Collins Post authorhow to buy nolvadex in usa

      Decent people – and that still means most individuals – assume that a conviction for something as serious as rape must be based on at least SOME evidence beyond the word of the accuser. That’s because decent people want to believe they are living in a society with a broadly just criminal system. I was also reluctant to believe the word of the accuser alone would be enough to convict. I am now disabused of that presumption. Rather, in such cases, it seems to become a lottery. I do wonder how the judges direct juries, and whether there is sufficient emphasis given to instructing them on ‘beyond reasonable doubt’. Many of the cases listed had a first trial which ended in a hung jury, before re-trial.

      1. AJ how to buy nolvadex online

        This is something I find interesting – how do people make a decision about beyond reasonable doubt, or as I think the judges now direct being ‘sure’?

        I often use subjective risk probability assesments for product safety analysis where there is no objective data available or often even possible. We give guidance on qualitative assessments of probability. I think this sort of guidance on the standard of proof would be very helpful, for example:
        – A too low definition: not very surprised if the defendant turned out to be innocent.
        – Possible defintion 1: Surprised if the defendant turned out to be innocent
        – Possible definition 2: Amazed if the defendant turned out to be innocent
        – Too high a definition: Astonishing/Incredible that the defendant turned out to be innocent.

        Putting it in this fashion makes it clear what is actually meant by beyond reasonable doubt or whatever term is used.

        What seems to be applied is simply more likely than not which is not at all what I think is supposed to be the case. Even if rules are introduced that some corroborative evidence is required beyond testimony which I think is necessary. The problem with the standard of proof being applied is so low will remain. The judges seem to use a form of words almost chosen to be ambiguous and do not give guidance as to what is actually meant.

        1. William Collins Post authorhow much nolvadex should i buy

          I’ve never heard what guidance the judges give, but, like you, I do worry about this issue. I’ve never even liked the phrase “beyond reasonable doubt”. To a mathematician this means what most people would call “certain”.

          1. AJ how to buy nolvadex in australia

            The problem is that in this area there is unlikely to be total certainty especially if what is relied on is testimony. Forensic evidence is a different problem and understanding of its relevance and reliability potentially difficult.

            If you were to say to me ‘certain’, then perhaps because of my background, that is a very high bar. On a technical level the real world often plays tricks on us and therefore I am professionally paranoid about drawing unqualified conclusions. Should the bar be that high? What level of false convictions is acceptable/innevitable? It seems to me that the judciary do not want to confront what is an essential issue in any justice system so do not want to be too clear in their guidance. If we reduce the false positive then inevitably the false negative rate will increase so there is an unavoidable trade off. For myself I think that we should be aiming for a false positive rate in the low single digits as a percentage say 1%.

            As any research been done into this? There are some methods that could be used. Investigating consistency of verdict when replaying the evidence to several different groups or a detailled review and reinvestigation of randomly selected cases. Research into the understanding by the Jury of the Judges directions would also be useful.

            Coming back to your cases what is disturbing is that all too often the criteria simply seems more likely than not. In some cases I am aware of such as Ched Evans I would say that the evidence was in favour of innocence so the criteria seemed to be that he had to prove innocence beyond doubt.

          2. William Collins Post authoris it illegal to buy nolvadex online

            Mathematical certainty would be too high a bar. I am actually quite comfortable with “beyond reasonable doubt” as long as that is interpreted in the manner that most (non-mathematical) people would interpret it. The classic sentiment is “it is better that 20 guilty men go free than one innocent man is convicted”. I’d go along with that level of confidence, i.e., 95%. In practice an attempt to quantify confidence would be lost on all but a very few jurors and would not be workable. That’s a pity because it leaves juries vulnerable to the Prosecutor’s Fallacy – almost no one (inlcuding most mathematicians) have an intuitive grasp of the implications of Bayes Theorem. On the plus side, I retain some faith in the common sense of most of the public – but not infallibly, unfortunately. And I agree that the lesson of the case histories is that, for sexual offences, the standard has (de facto if not de jure) dropped to ‘balance of probability’. This combined with ‘the complainants testimony is enough’ leaves the process wide open to endemic injustice.

          3. Dougie is it illegal to buy nolvadex

            I think the barristers in the recent Belfast rape trial put it perfectly. I believe the prosecutor was saying along the lines “if you are certain then you must convict” ,where as the defence were saying along the lines “if there is any doubt then you must acquit” . That is how it should be put, no numbers,no mention of probability, no legalese that isn’t fully understood (or could be misunderstood) just plain and simple. My God that trial was close. I do think the verdict was correct due to the jury being able to pick out the minutia of major importance from frankly a load of damaging text/email correspondence. If that witness hadn’t entered the room and said she didn’t think she witnessed a rape I think the jury would have gone the other way.
            Dougie

    2. buy nolvadex europe buy nolvadex india

      CICA compensation is smaller than that. The maximum is £27,000. For example, from CICA’s online calculator, for a serious rape, about £16,500 and for permanent disabling injury due to that, £27,000.

      – Sexual offence where victim is any age (if not already compensated as a child)
      – Non-consensual penile penetration of one or more of vagina, anus or mouth
      – Pattern of repetitive incidents (whether by one or more attackers) over a period up to 3 years
      Award: £16,500.00

      Mental injury
      Disabling mental injury, confirmed by professional
      Seriously disabling
      First award: £27,000.00 Highest award at 100%.

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