Rape – Part 1 (Statistics)

Jerry Hayes – hero of the hour

Here’s another piece I hadn’t planned to write. I have previously – and probably wisely – avoided the quagmire of false rape allegation statistics. But hot on the heels of #MeToo, we have Liam Allan and Isaac Itiary. Questions are now being asked about the conduct of rape trials, and in particular the role played by the police and the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS).

This prompted me to look at the rape statistics – something I haven’t done for a few years. I thought I knew what I would find. I was wrong. Things have changed.

My intention is to cover the following major topics,

  1. Guilty Until Proven Innocent – Recent Events
  2. Rape Statistics
  3. The Law on Rape – A Gendered Crime
  4. False Rape Accusation Statistics
  5. Case Histories of False Rape Accusations

However, to avoid another of my infamously over-long blog pieces, I’ll be covering the above topics in three separate posts. This, the first, covers the first two topics. The rest will follow over the next couple of weeks, assuming my enthusiasm holds.

  1. Guilty Until Proven Innocent

The debacle du jour concerns the lack of disclosure of exculpatory evidence by the police. To be more precise, in two rape cases which have come to prominence, disclosure was made but only at the last minute and with considerably less than alacrity. Had the disclosures not been made, both these young men, Liam Allan and Isaac Itiary, would probably have gone to prison for a long time and none of us would have ever heard of them. The concern, of course, is that this has been precisely the fate of many young men before them.

The case against Liam Allan collapsed when former conservative MP Jerry Hayes, the prosecution barrister – yes, the prosecution barrister – insisted that the police hand over the evidence from the complainants ‘phone. Some 50,000 messages were finally revealed on the first day of the trial itself. The defence advocate, Julia Smart, should be mentioned in dispatches. She spent the rest of that day – and undoubtedly all night – reviewing the contents of the new disclosure. Among them were messages to Mr Allan pestering him for sex, and fantasising about “rough sex and being raped.” One message read simply “it wasn’t against my will or anything”. The prosecution advised the case be withdrawn. It was.

Jerry Hayes said, “The police have to be independent and they cannot cherry pick evidence. They are not there to build the case for the prosecution.” We can take some comfort from the continued existence of decent people such as Mr Hayes who are still motivated by justice, albeit hamstrung within a broken system.

Liam Allan had been under investigation or awaiting trial on a false allegation for nearly two years. Had he been convicted – and there was a better than 50% chance he would have been – he would very probably have received a sentence of around twelve years imprisonment and he would have been on the sex offenders’ register for the rest of his life. A young man would have had his life ruined by a false allegation. He owes his freedom to the professionalism of the man instructed to prosecute him.

One of the notable aspects of this case – and it isn’t just one case really, it’s a tipping point, a denouement, a purgation – is the number of experienced lawyers who are now being extremely outspoken about the failures of the system.

Solicitor Nick Freeman has called for people who make false rape and sex assault allegations to be stripped of their statutory anonymity and named on a public register. “The time has come for there to be a register where the names of those who make these disgraceful and disgusting allegations are added”, he said, “Sadly, Mr Allan’s case is not a one off. It is one of many – the tip of the iceberg. False allegations are made on a daily basis, and those who make them can hide behind a lifelong veil of anonymity.”

Freeman is not the first lawyer to call for such a false-alleger register. The appeal court judge Lord Lane made a similar suggestion when considering the 3 year sentence received by a false claimant in the 1980s (quoted in Rumney 2006).

In an excellent résumé, Matthew Scott, the Barrister-Blogger, sums it up, “Despite the magnificent performance of Mr Hayes, a case like this ought to shatter any remaining illusions that the English and Welsh criminal justice system is fit for purpose.”

There has been no indication that the false accuser is to be prosecuted. Somewhere out there is a woman without conscience who is being protected by the law, protected by guaranteed anonymity. What is there to deter her from making another false accusation, perhaps next time successfully destroying a young man’s life? Far fetched? Wait until you read the case histories. You will see that serial false accusers are not uncommon.

The judge in the Liam Allan case demanded a review of disclosure of evidence by the Metropolitan Police, Britain’s biggest force, and called for an inquiry at the “very highest level” of the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS). Regular readers of this blog will know I am no fan of Alison Saunders, the Director of Public Prosecutions. But unfortunately cutting the head off the snake is unlikely to be sufficient. Saunders’ predecessor, Keir Starmer, was little better. The rot in the CPS runs deep and will require concerted determination over years or decades to overturn. An institutionalised ideology is not so easily neutralised.

The Metropolitan Police said it would assess whether it was obeying laws on disclosure in hundreds of potential prosecutions following these well publicised failures. But what about the rest of the country?

Part of this cultural expurgation must include a distancing of police ‘training’ from lobbies with partisan politics. In that context it is about time that feminism was recognised as a political opinion, not the definition of loveliness.

There are those who will claim that it is not the job of the police to investigate evidence which might assist a defendant. DefenceBrief.BlogSpot, another lawyer’s blog, refutes such claims thus, such claims are absurd morally, practically and legally. Morally because such a situation would mean that an investigator who spots material that looks like it could lead to material that would prove innocence would be justified in ignoring it and that will always be morally wrong. It is practically wrong because the police as agents of the state hold powers and have resources to investigate not available to individuals. A prime example, is the power to seize telephones as evidence and interrogate them, which is something no defendant can do lawfully for himself.

Isaac Itiary, 25, was accused of sex with a minor (described in the news reports as “rape of a child”, which is technically correct). The defence asked for details of the girl’s text messages in September but they were provided only this week. They showed that she routinely posed as a 19-year-old. Again a case collapsed which should never have been brought at all. Mr Itiary spent four months in jail awaiting trial. The investigating police officer was the same man in both the Liam Allen and Isaac Itiary cases. However, this is not about a single police officer.

The knee jerk reaction has been to blame lack of police funding. I am unmoved. I have heard lack of money blamed for organisational incompetence too often to fall for that. What funding is required to hand over ‘phone messages – messages that the defence council was able to review sufficiently over-night?

Senior lawyers are now claiming that these recent cases may be just the tip of the iceberg. I alluded to #MeToo earlier. I do wonder whether lawyers are finally waking up to the pernicious nature of misplaced chivalry in an age of equality.

And this brings me to my point.

Important though the disclosure issue undoubtedly is, there is something even more fundamental being exposed here. It is this: the eradication of the principle of innocence until proven guilty. This has already happened. The reason why the non-disclosure of exculpatory evidence was so crucial in these cases is that men accused of rape are required to prove their innocence. The prosecution case rests on the negative that the accused should be unable to do so. This is the true failure of the system. And it has come about through ideological corruption of the process. That terms like “victim” or “survivor” are routinely used for the complainant, prior to any conviction, is symptomatic of this ideological annexation of the judicial process.

We are teetering over an abyss. Do we pull back from the brink and re-assert genuine justice and equal consideration for all regardless of sex? Or do we further deepen our gendered approach to justice? Whilst there is much agonised hand wringing at present, these things have a habit of being quickly forgotten. And the usual lobbies will soon assert themselves.

Here is a salutary lesson from Canada. The fine print within Canadian Bill C-51 will be to eliminate the automatic disclosure of evidence such as that which played such a key role in the Liam Allen and Isaac Itiary cases – watch this video. There is a very reasonable view that this move in Canada was prompted by the failure to gain a conviction in the celebrated Jian Ghomeshi case – a case that also went against the prosecution when email exchanges showed conclusively that the complainants had colluded and lied. To any sane person this Canadian trial reached the right conclcusion, vindicating the process. But not to the gender ideologues who wanted his blood. That lobbies which are transparently on the side of injustice have gained the ability to mould the law to their liking is about as chilling as life gets. It remains to be seen whether we go the same way. I am not sanguine.

  1. Rape Statistics

This Section refers to the UK alone. In fact, unless otherwise stated, the data relate to England and Wales only. Both males and females may be victims of rape.

In English law, rape is defined as penetration with a penis without the consent of the penetrated party. Hence, only people who possess a penis can rape. This used to mean males. However, with the law about to be changed to allow biological males to identify as female by personal fiat, it will soon be the case that some females-with-a-penis will be rapists. (I don’t envy the statistical authorities the problem of how to gather gendered data – on anything – in this brave new world. I suspect such data will continue to be collected based on biological sex, so that the relevance of legal gender will be marginalised by sheer practicality).

Here we must distinguish between several distinct types of rape statistic,

  1. Survey based estimates of total victimisation;
  2. Reports of rape recorded by the police;
  3. Prosecutions for an initial charge of rape;
  4. Convictions for rape.

It is also important to distinguish rape data which refer to victims of either sex from data which are specific to one sex (usually females). Similarly, care is needed to distinguish between data referring to victims in a restricted age range (e.g., adults) from that for all ages.

The above are in order of diminishing size of the statistic, largest first – although, as we shall see, items 1 and 2 have recently converged. These four distinct measures of rape prevalence are nicely illustrated by Figure 1.

For convenience the data sources on which this Section is based are collected below,

  • Ref.1: An Overview of Sexual Offending in England and Wales, Ministry of Justice, Home Office & the Office for National Statistics, Statistics bulletin, January 2013
  • Ref.2: Focus on: Violent Crime and Sexual Offences, year ending March 2015 – Appendix Tables
  • Ref.3: Crime in England & Wales, year ending June 2017 – Appendix tables
  • Ref.4: Violence Against Women And Girls Crime Report 2016-17, Crown Prosecution Service
  • Ref.5: Violence Against Women And Girls Crime Report 2015-16, Crown Prosecution Service
  • Ref.6: Violence Against Women And Girls Crime Report 2014-15, Crown Prosecution Service
  • Refs.7, 8 and 9 are the similar CPS VAWG reports for 2012-13, 2010-11 and 2008-9
  • Ref.10: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/criminal-justice-system-statistics-quarterly-december-2014

Figure 1: Illustration of the distinct rape measures – taken from Ref.1 (Relates to average of years 2009/10, 2010/11 and 2011/12) – click to enlarge

Survey Estimates of Total Victimisation

Ref.2 Table 4.04 gives the percentage of survey respondents indicating they were raped in the preceding year, for years between 2005 and 2015. (Here year 2005 means the year ending March 2005, etc). Figure 2 plots the data for women victims in histogram form. Note that the survey data refer to females in the age range 16 to 59 only.

These data surprised me. The survey-based estimates of the prevalence of rape of women used to be around 0.9% per year – but in the last three reported years this has fallen dramatically to 0.3%.

The prevalence data can be converted to an estimate of the total number of victims with the help of Figure 1. The average prevalence in years 2009/10, 2010/11, 2011/12 was 0.93% (from Figure 2) and Figure 1 indicates that this corresponds to a central estimate of 78,000 victims, with an error bar of plus/minus 18,000. Hence, in 2014 and 2015 the estimated number of adult women victims would scale to 25,000 plus or minus 18,000.

The error bar is inevitably large. To see why consider year 2015 when the female ‘unweighted base’ (i.e., the number of women contributing to the 0.3% estimate) was 10,363. But 0.3% of 10,363 is just 31 women who stated in their survey response that they had been raped in the previous year – a rather small statistic. Estimating 25,000 victims from just 31 is quite an extrapolation.

[The survey data for completed rape of men are too small to be reliable, perhaps around 5 cases out of typically 5,000 to 10,000 male respondents. However, this is what one would expect for a total number of adult male victims in the order of a few thousand].

Figure 2: Survey based estimate of the prevalence of rape of women aged 16 to 59

Police Reported Rapes

Data are taken from Ref.3 Table A4. This breaks down the reports of rape to the police by both sex and age range. Figure 3 shows the total number (both sexes, all ages) and the number for females alone (all ages). Figure 4 shows the female reports broken down by age range, whilst Figure 5 shows the numbers of reported male victims, also broken down by age.

The bulk of rapes of females relate to adult women. In contrast, most rapes of males relate to the under-13s. There is one under-13 boy raped for every two under-13 girls who are raped. Across all ages, males account for 11% of all reported rapes.

The striking feature of all the police reports (Figures 3-5) is their dramatic upturn since 2013. (I’m sure it can only be coincidence that this aligns with Alison Saunders becoming DPP in November 2013). This is in stark contrast to the emphatic downturn in the survey-based estimates of rapes over the same period (Figure 2). By June 2017 the total reported male victims had climbed to over 4,800, and that of females to over 40,000.

The greatest surprise, though, is to compare the survey based estimate of adult female victimisation with the corresponding police report data – Figure 6. Up until 2012 the survey based estimates of total rapes (of women) were substantially larger than the recorded police rape data. But the rapid fall in the former together with the rapid increase of the latter has led to the number of police recorded rapes of women to become comparable with the survey estimates in 2016 and 2017.

For years we have been told that rape is massively under-reported. But Figure 6 would suggest that,

  • Either, rape of women is now being well reported;
  • Or, if rape is still being under-reported, there must be a compensating “over-reporting”, i.e., widespread false accusations.

Of course, the error-bar on the survey estimate is very large, so care must be exercised to avoid too definitive a conclusion. Nevertheless, Figure 6 is revealing. And, if the police reported rape data should continue to climb over the next few years and ultimately exceed even the survey upper bound, suspicion will become justified.

Figure 3: Police Reports of Rape (all ages)

 Figure 4: Police reports of rape of females broken down by age range

Figure 5: Police reports of rape of males broken down by age range

Figure 6: Comparison of Survey Estimates of Adult Women Rape Victims with Police Report Data

Prosecutions and Convictions for Rape

Data on rape prosecutions and convictions have been taken from the CPS VAWG reports, Refs.4-9. However, great caution is needed in using these sources for this purpose. Since Alison Saunders took up the position of DPP in November 2013, the main text of these VAWG reports became very misleading as regards what is ostensibly reported as a “rape conviction”. What the CPS have reported recently is the number of convictions resulting from an initial charge of rape. However, in a large proportion of cases (around half) the data actually refer to a conviction for a lesser offence – not a conviction for rape. However, the correct data, from Ministry of Justice sources, is included in Annex 2 to the VAWG reports in these cases. We find the data is as given in Table 1 and presented graphically in Figure 7.

Table 1: Prosecutions and Convictions for Rape (England and Wales) – includes victims of both sexes

Year Prosecutions Convictions
2006/7 3264 1778
2007/8 3503 2021
2008/9 3495 2018
2010 3071 1058
2012 2822 1145
2014 3538 1164
2015 3851 1297
2016 2716 1352

Figure 7: Rape Prosecutions and Convictions Per Year (both sexes)

The number of convictions for rape does not reflect the huge increase in police reports of rape. In fact there appears to have been a significant reduction in convictions after 2009.

One thing which irritates me on reading CPS reports is that an acquittal is referred to as an “unsuccessful outcome”. Whilst I understand the CPS’s business is prosecution, it makes me uneasy that influential parties in the criminal justice process should regard as a success anything other than a just outcome. One feels that they perceive acquittals as “the jury screwed up”. Thank God for juries, I say.

In passing I note that the 2015/16 VAWG report indicates that, where ethnicity was recorded, 48% of rape crime defendants were not “White British”.

As regards the sex of the rape victim in cases prosecuted, this was generally 12% male over the period 2006 to 2016, occasionally dropping to 10% but not lower. This aligns well with the gender ratio in police reports. However, it seems that conviction rates are lower for cases involving male victims. For example, in 2014, of cases resulting in a conviction only 7% related to male victims. A detailed break-down for that year, from Ref.10, is given in Table 2.

Table 2: Rape Convictions by Age and Sex of Victim

Convictions in 2014 Female victims Male victims
Rape of person > 16 525 7
Rape of person < 16 321 22
Rape of person < 13 234 55

Famously, the ‘attrition rate’ for rape of females is very large. By ‘attrition’ is meant the reduction in numbers through the criminal justice process, from initial reports to the police to eventual conviction. In 2014 only 6% of police recorded rapes of females led to a conviction. What is not generally appreciated is that the attrition rate for male rape is worse, as Table 3 indicates.

Table 3: Attrition Rate for Male Rape

Sexual offences against males Recorded 2013/14 Convictions 2014 Percentage
Rape of male > 16 662 7 1%
Rape of male < 16 415 22 5%
Rape of male < 13 1,120 55 5%
Total 2,197 84 4%

3. Summary

The number of police recorded rapes has increased very markedly since 2013 (Figures 3 to 5).

This has not been accompanied by a similar dramatic increase in rape convictions (Figure 7).

Survey-based estimates of rape prevalence decreased dramatically in 2013 and are now compatible with the volume of police recorded rapes (Figure 6).

Alison Saunders became DPP in November 2013.

Added Note

Just minutes after publishing this piece another UK rape case hit the press – that of Danny Kay whose conviction has just been quashed. Better late than never – but very, very late – four years into a four-and-a-half year sentence. Yet again this case was reversed upon the discovery of social media messages which told a different story from the complainant’s….

…and the same day, yet another case of last minute disclosure, crucial to exoneration – Samuel Armstrong.

24 thoughts on “Rape – Part 1 (Statistics)

  1. Pingback: A Criminal Investigation | The Illustrated Empathy Gap

  2. Erin Pizzey

    Alice Millar was one of the walking wounded but her insights were invaluable. I knew from being very young that generational family violence was the root cause of domestic violence and family dysfunction. I opened my refuge in 1971 and was not surprised to find that of the first hundred women to come in with their children, sixty two were as violent or more violent than the men they left. Those of us who through no fault of our own are born into violent families (I include emotional violence) must come to understand our damage and then transcend it so we break the cycle.

    Reply
  3. James Murphy

    Many thanks. I’ll certainly order those two books on Amazon. Sound fascinating. Did you ever read the psychologist Alice Miller on the handing on of violence from one generation to the next? It’s a commonplace now that the abused stand an increased chance of becoming abusers themselves, but hers was a revolutionary insight in its day (the 80s, I guess) Then again, I read with tragic irony a few months back that she was bloody awful parent herself! Emotionally cold and unreliable to the point of treachery. Well there you go: the cobbler always has holes in his shoe!

    Reply
    1. William Collins Post author

      I think you’ll find that Erin was putting forward the intergenerational mechanism of domestic violence from the early 1970s – and still is.

      Reply
  4. Erin Pizzey

    Also read ‘Infernal Child ‘my memoir and I realise more than most that there are times when you have to walk away to save your own sanity. It is a courageous thing to do because when I decided to banish my father from my life in the 1960’s people reacted with horror ‘how could you do such a thing?’ The answer is he refused to give up his rages against his children and I was not going to allow his behaviour to damage my children. The same applies to alienated children. Usually as they get older they begin to see the flaws in their poisonous parent but some never do and insist on seeing the innocent parent through the lens of the poisonous parent. In that case I advise to make a loving compassionate distance and just pray that some day your child will make the healthy break needed. I have seen too many parents destroyed and some kill themselves over the rejection.

    Reply
  5. Pingback: Charlotte Proudman on the Liam Allan Case | The Illustrated Empathy Gap

  6. Erin Pizzey

    No you are not a nasty misogynist. Girls deal quite differently with their mothers than boys. With the annihilation of a male model in the family and the father role relinquished by men, boys are left having to deal with mothers who far too often behave like control freaks or emotional erotic bullies of their sons. It is no wonder that men end up frightened and often resentful of female dominance. Girls are far more able to negotiate with their mother and let us remember it is women who are far more likely to kill male children and sexually abuse and batter all children.

    Reply
    1. James Murphy

      Dear Erin Pizzey, Thanks for these vital insights, which, of course, constitute (or used to!) the stuff of literature, myth and the whole human story! May I respectfully add one caveat to what you say about girls and the relative ease with which they can deal with pernicious mothers. While generally true, there are exceptions (which I don’t suppose you would deny). In this context, my wife had a manic-depressive mother who, with her constant temper tantrums and bitching (no other way to put it) over the years, nearly destroyed my wife’s faith in herself, so to speak. Ultimately, when she was 16 or so, my wife displayed an inordinate degree of courage in finally rejecting her mother completely, moving out, etc. She’s written sagely and, where relevant, with comedic gallows humour about this poisoned female relationship in a book called ‘Burnt Dress’ shortly to be published. I don’t think my wife would demur if I said that the objectivity she was forced to acquire in regard to her mother’s cruelty has stood her in good stead when latterly dissecting the insanity of 3rd wave feminism for her girl students (she was a brilliant teacher for most of her career). One of her favourite quotes is the title of Middleton’s play ‘Women beware women’ – ha! Incidentally, when I was a kid in the 60s I vividly remember hearing your name mentioned in a hushed spirit of awe by my mother and aunt. Those were the days when, with recourse to a rueful, ironic, psychologically astute, occasionally ribald sense of humour and good faith, men and women ‘got on’ on a simple level by and large – and when the cruelty of the few was recognised as just that, an aberration, not a general rule. Ah! Heady days of drab London streets (Carnaby included!) grime-encrusted buildings, foul air pollution, but relatively unpolluted relations between the sexes! Do I romanticise? probably. But there’s a grain of truth in the observation. Anyway, having not heard your name mentioned much in the MSM for decades (now why would that be?) I was amazed to see you speak out in The Red Pill movie – and then to research how heroically heterodox you have been prepared to be when occasion required. Well, a stranger’s compliments are not especially valuable, nevertheless they are sincerely meant. Btw, I can’t find any new books out by you. Are there such? All best wishes. James Murphy.

      Reply
      1. Erin

        THIS WAY TO THE REVOLUTION is my book describing the political influence of the fraudulent Womens Liberation Movement who hijacked the refuge/shelter movement to fund their cause. Go to Amazon and either but the book or download the ebook.

        Reply
    1. William Collins Post author

      Yes, that’s the nub of it. Me too. I can marshal all the rational arguments in the world with one lobe of my brain, but the other lobe carries right on telling me I’m a nasty misogynist.

      Belated Happy Christmas by the way, Erin.

      Reply
  7. Groan

    Just thinking on the sharp rise. Linking it to the 48% Ethnic minority convictions. 2013 was also when the much belated arrests and prosecutions of the many abuse rings started. As these often dated back a decade before and have continued to fill at least local media (with overall an estimate of 20,000 victims across England) they must have considerably added to the prosecutions data, reflected no doubt in the disproportionate representation in the stats. Of course the other prosecution campaign over the period is the pursuit of “historic cases”. Certainly regionally one effect has been a rise in the average age of prisoners. Taken together perhaps this gives some explanation to the trajectory of the reports.

    Reply
  8. Patrick Graham

    Excellent and useful stuff
    I do hope you find the energy to continue the piece to its original stated entirety.

    With the public mood changing and more bad cases emerging, it seems daily, we may progress to attacking the appeal system which makes sure that men wrongly convicted of rape in “he said she said” cases have virtually zero chance of being granted leave – as they would have to produce magic new evidence of proof of a negative…

    Reply
  9. Emma wells

    My partner was the unwilling star of a recent ITV documentary following a team of detectives. I would very much like to send you a copy of the documentary as it shows exactly how a suspect is treated during a police investigation. At one point the officer in charge calls him a rapist. Not a potential rapist… a rapist! This is before she has met him and more importantly before he found himself in crown court 13 mths after the allegation was made. He told 2 ridiculous, pointless lies which were used in court to identify him as a liar. I have recently recieved my police disclosure which contains a discussion had between myself and the oic on the night that he was arrested whereby I correlate the nature of our relationship. I do not believe that peice of information was ever added to his file at the time of his investigation partner. He lied due to the duress placed on him having a tv film filming on the day of his police interveiw and his reluctance at having me associated with it should it go ahead and be aired.

    Reply
  10. Rick Martin

    Great article. We should all use these facts, next time a feminist starts parroting the false statistic that 92 to 98 percent of rapes are true! If anything, from John’s breakdown, over 90 percent are false!

    Reply
  11. John Davis

    This article is a very astute analysis of the current rape hysteria that is raging in both the UK and the US.

    I did a study on the rape hysteria in the US about 4 years ago, and, for what it’s worth, here is what I learned about the distortion of statistics the feminist dominated agencies use to fuel the flames of hysteria.

    The percentage of rape accusations made to the police in the US result in about 83% being dismissed. Of the remaining 17% that result in convictions, a little over half of those convictions are guilty pleas made by men who are actually innocent who chose to plead guilty to a guaranteed lesser sentence rather than risk a long sentence if they chose to go to trial. Of the remaining convictions (about 8% of total accusations) 80% of the convictions were for “statutory rape” – i.e. consensual sex with someone under the age of about 16. (Lumping in the statutory rape convictions with all of the other convictions and calling all of them “rape” is very deceptive).

    About 60% of exonerations in the US are for sex related crimes . . . . this calls into question the integrity of the “convictions” of men who pleaded guilty or who actually went to trial and were convicted on the basis of “he said/she said” testimony.

    Of all proven false accusations made against men, about half of those false accusations were not made to the police the the alleged “victim.” The accuser was someone who had no sexual contact with the alleged “victim.”

    There are relentless myths in both the UK and the US that false accusations of rape are “rare.” This is false. In one of my books on the subject I was able to find the appropriate government statistics that show that the rate of false accusations in the US is between about 60% and 90% . . . . we cannot know for sure because of the large number of men who are accused, but, plead guilty because they fear the outcome of a kangaroo court.

    The largest myth about false accusations of rape that exists in the US is that “The FBI states there are only 8% of rape accusations that are false.” This myth is complete fiction. The FBI claims, in all of its reports, that “Law enforcement determines that 8% of rape accusations are false each year.” That does not mean that the other 92% are true. What it means is that law enforcement does not refer 8% of the cases for prosecution because they are so obviously false, but, refer the remaining 92% of rape accusations to prosecutors. The prosecutors and the courts determine that of the 92% referred for prosecution, about 83% of those cases are false accusations.

    97% of rape accusers who claim they were drugged were not drugged (this has been proven from blood tests) but were simply inebriated and suffering from “alcoholic induced amnesia.” They were fully conscious and consenting during sex, but, simply don’t remember it because they are alcoholics.

    Reply
  12. Vincent McGovern

    Indeed I echo Erin Pizzey’s astute observations from above. The criminal (in)justice system is steadily moving to where the family court system has been for decades. Fortunately, very fortunate indeed, there is much greater exposure of institutional malpractice in criminal courts when heroes such as Jerry Hayes expose not just institutional corruption but also the exercise of perversion of justice by many agents of the state.

    The common denominator here is the ‘gendering’ of the system. And for the MPS to declare complainants are ‘victims’ before due process shrieks loudly of a hideously corrupt culture. As for the laughable subject of resources, who apart from the fragrant gender warriors of misandry believe that giving more public funds to the current quite corrupt criminal justice system where sex crimes are concerned will lead to anything other than more perversion of justice.

    It will take sustained public pressure and access to impartial professional information such as the blog above for any chance of bring about improvement.

    Knowledge is power. Without it we are blind. William Collins provides that searchlight of disinterested knowledge.

    Reply
  13. CitymanMichael

    I’m not sure if you are aware that Police “Record” a rape when it is reported to them. They do NOT have to interview the complainant and they do take reports from Women’s Aid – so if a worker from Women’s Aid reports to the police that a woman has been raped but does not wish to be interviewed, the rape is recorded and no further action is taken by police.
    This, of course, leaves the statistics wide open to abuse by idealogues in Rape Crisis centres.

    Reply
  14. Erin Pizzey

    Thank you so much for this first factual, evidence based report on the frightening prosecution and persecution of men. Please do not loose heart because your research is a beacon of light in the murky obfuscation that is deliberately offered to the general public. I do hope you will be able to comment on the monies doled out to accusers regardless of the outcome of the trials. Paid by the state to falsely accuse men is the most heinous crime of our time. How could this happen?

    Reply
    1. Mike

      It happens because most men are more interested in sports than to give a toss about their rights! If it were not so, we would would not be having this conversation.

      “Qui tacet consentire videtur, ubi loqui debuit ac potuit”
      (He who is silent, when he ought to have spoken and was able to, is taken to agree)

      Reply

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